A few Wednesday morning data points


This post is by Unknown from West Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)


As we’ve discussed at some length, there is a strange inconsistency in much of the mainstream media’s coverage of the election (actually, there are many strange inconsistencies, but we’ll just focus when one for the moment).  In the run-up to the primaries, papers like the New York Times did their best to convince us and themselves that  DeSantis or Haley, or even Ramaswamy, was poised to take out Donald Trump.  In this phase of the election, even the pretense of objectivity was tossed aside. Once reality came crashing down on these scenarios, many of these same journalists suddenly lost all interest in looking for signs of weakness in Trump’s support.  We’ve already speculated on the reasons behind this curious shift and will probably speculate more in some upcoming posts (it’s a hard habit to break).  Regardless of the causes, the disconnect continues, supplying endless material to the NYT pitchbot.  Biden getting support in the nineties in the primaries is seen as evidence of a party in disarray while Trump getting more than ten points less is depicted as an indication of strength. Part of the problem is that many political observers still have trouble with the idea that the former president has an absolute lock on the primary with the loyal support of a solid majority of Republicans, but appears to have seriously alienated in the nontrivial minority of the party.  Perhaps the best indication of that has been the remarkable consistency of Haley’s primary showings, even after dropping of (Read more…)