Visualizing 90 Years of Stock and Bond Portfolio Performance
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Visualizing 90 Years of Stock and Bond Portfolio Performance
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Last year, stock and bond returns tumbled after the Federal Reserve hiked interest rates at the fastest speed in 40 years. It was the first time in decades that both asset classes posted negative annual investment returns in tandem.
Over four decades, this has happened 2.4% of the time across any 12-month rolling period.
To look at how various stock and bond asset allocations have performed over history—and their broader correlations—the above graphic charts their best, worst, and average returns, using data from Vanguard.
How Has Asset Allocation Impacted Returns?
Based on data between 1926 and 2019, the table below looks at the spectrum of market returns of different asset allocations:
| Stock / Bond Portfolio Allocation | Best Annual Return | Worst Annual Return | Average Annual Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0% / 100% | 32.6% | -8.1% | 5.3% |
| 10% / 90% | 31.2% | -8.2% | 6.0% |
| 20% / 80% | 29.8% | -10.1% | 6.6% |
| 30% / 70% | 28.4% | -14.2% | 7.2% |
| 40% / 60% | 27.9% | -18.4% | 7.8% |
| 50% / 50% | 32.3% | -22.5% | 8.3% |
| 60% / 40% | 36.7% | -26.6% | 8.8% |
| 70% / 30% | 41.1% | -30.7% | 9.2% |
| 80% / 20% | 45.4% | -34.9% | 9.6% |
| 90% / 10% | 49.8% | -39.0% | 10.0% |
| 100% / 0% | 54.2% | -43.1% | 10.3% |
We can see that a portfolio made entirely of (Read more...)